What is ETH/USD?
The ETH/USD currency pair indicates the number of US dollars required to purchase one Ether (ETH). ETH is the native token of Ethereum, a decentralised, open-source blockchain platform for computing.
Released in 2015, Ethereum was the most significant advancement in blockchain technology since the launch of Bitcoin. It introduced several ground-breaking concepts, such as smart contracts, decentralised applications, and non-fungible tokens (NFTs), which have revolutionised how blockchain technology is used.
Smart contracts automate complex legal processes and facilitate decentralised applications. They have paved the way for the growth of Decentralised Finance (DeFi), offering peer-to-peer financial services and allowing individuals to collaborate, invest, borrow, and generate passive income without traditional intermediaries like banks or brokers.
The influence of Ethereum extends beyond Ether. It has its own standard called ERC20 for creating new tokens. Many of today's prominent cryptocurrencies started as ERC20 tokens before migrating to their own independent networks (mainnets).
As the Ethereum network gained popularity, the cost of transactions (Gas), particularly during bull runs, rose to prohibitive levels. This led to the emergence of several competitors, including Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL).
Ethereum historical performance
ETH’s historically volatile performance began in 2015 with a low of less than $1. After peaking at around $1,400 in January 2018, it fell sharply before staging a major recovery reaching an all-time high of $4,953 in August 2025. It had previously peaked at $4,362 in late 2021, then retraced below $1,000 in 2022 amid a broader crypto market downturn.
With a circulating supply of approximately 120.69 million ETH, Ether remains the largest altcoin by market capitalisation by a significant margin. Since the Merge in 2022, Ethereum has been operating under a deflationary supply model.
What affects the price of Ethereum?
Like any other cryptocurrency or financial asset, there are a variety of fundamental and speculative factors that affect the price of ETH/USD. While the Bitcoin and Ethereum networks have different objectives and their native currencies BTC and ETH are not competitors, the direction of the price of bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has a direct impact on the price of Ether and all other cryptocurrencies. In addition to the price of BTC, the price of ETH relative to the U.S. dollar is influenced by the following factors:
- Positive news or endorsements from influential figures can raise market sentiment, while adoption, user activity, and the number of ETH tokens in circulation affect demand and supply.
- Spot ETH ETFs and institutional flows. Since July 2024, spot Ethereum ETFs have been launched by major asset managers such as BlackRock and Fidelity. Institutional inflows through these regulated products have become a significant demand driver for ETH.
- Staking and supply dynamics. Currently, over 35% of all ETH supply is staked, reducing the liquid circulating supply and creating structural price support.
- Adoption and use cases also play a role in determining Ethereum's value. Demand can be fuelled by high-profile projects or corporations selecting Ethereum for blockchain solutions. Upgrades to a network's performance, scalability, and security can influence investor confidence and price.
- Other blockchain platforms, such as Binance Smart Chain, Cardano, and Solana, can also affect the price of Ethereum. Regulation and legal developments can have a substantial effect on the prices of cryptocurrencies, with regulatory clarity and acceptance bolstering investor confidence and crackdowns or restrictions causing uncertainty and sell-offs.
- Global economic factors, such as inflation, financial crises, and currency devaluation, can influence investors to seek out alternative assets, such as cryptocurrencies, thereby increasing demand and prices. Large holders of Ether, referred to as "whales," can influence the market by engaging in substantial transactions that result in price fluctuations.
- The cryptocurrency market is dominated by speculation, with traders and investors making decisions based on short-term price forecasts, technical analysis, and market trends, which can result in rapid price fluctuations.
What to watch out for when trading ETH?
Traders must closely monitor data releases and statements from organisations that can impact regulatory policies, market sentiment, and the cryptocurrency market as a whole when trading ETH/USD. These consist of:
- The Ethereum Foundation is a key player in the development and enhancement of the Ethereum blockchain, with announcements regarding network upgrades, improvements, and changes in the roadmap affecting the price of ETH.
- Vitalik Buterin, the co-founder, is also a significant influencer, with his social media activity and interviews shedding light on the future of Ethereum.
- Spot ETH ETF flows, since their launch in July 2024, daily inflows and outflows from Ethereum ETFs have become a significant price driver.
- Protocol upgrades, such as Dencun and Pectra, have historically been market-moving events and are closely watched by ETH traders.
- Decentralized Finance (DeFi) projects built on the Ethereum platform are major drivers of demand for ETH, with news and developments related to popular protocols like MakerDAO, Aave, Compound, and Uniswap impacting ETH's price.
- Enterprise adoption of Ethereum for blockchain solutions can boost confidence in the platform and drive demand for ETH.
- Regulatory developments can influence investor sentiment and the price of ETH.
- Listings on major exchanges can increase liquidity and trading volume, which could affect ETH's price.
The data is sourced from third-party providers. This information is not to be construed as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product, or instrument; or to participate in any trading strategy. It has been prepared without taking your objectives, financial situation, or needs into account. Any references to past performance and forecasts are not reliable indicators of future results. Axi makes no representation and assumes no liability regarding the accuracy and completeness of the content in this publication. Readers should seek their own advice.